Title: COLLAPSE OR NOT COLLAPSE??
Course: Collapse or not collapse? > Section: THE LIMITS TO GROWTH

THE LAST UPDATES TO "THE LIMITS TO GROWTH"

In 2015, a calibration of the updated World3-03 model using historical data from 1995 to 2012 to better understand the dynamics of today's economic and resource system was undertaken. The results showed that human society has invested more to abate persistent pollution, to increase food productivity and have a more productive service sector however the broad trends within Limits to Growth still held true.

In 2016, a report published by the UK Parliament's 'All-Party Parliamentary Group on Limits to Growth' concluded that "there is unsettling evidence that society is still following the 'standard run' of the original study – in which overshoot leads to an eventual collapse of production and living standards". The report also points out that some issues not fully addressed in the original 1972 report, such as climate change , present additional challenges for human development.

In 2020, an analysis by Gaya Herrington (Sustainability and Dynamic System Analysis Lead at KPMG in the United States but in a personal capacity) was published in Yale's Journal of Industrial Ecology . The study assessed whether, given key data known in 2020 about factors important for the "Limits to Growth" report, the original report's conclusions are supported. In particular, the 2020 study examined updated quantitative information about ten factors, namely population, fertility rates, mortality rates, industrial output, food production, services, non-renewable resources, persistent pollution, human welfare, and ecological footprint, and concluded that the "Limits to Growth" prediction is essentially correct in that continued economic growth is unsustainable under a "business as usual" model. The study found that current empirical data is broadly consistent with the 1972 projections, and that if major changes to the consumption of resources are not undertaken, economic growth will peak and then rapidly decline by around 2040.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth

https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/2052_-_A_Global_Forecast_for_the_Next_Forty_Years

IN THIS FORUM YOU SHOULD POST YOUR OWN INDIVIDUAL THINKINGS/IDEAS REGARDING:

What is The Club of Roma?

What is the Word03 model?

What does the word "OVERSHOOT" mean?

The last update in 2020, of "The limits to growth", forecasts that economic growth will peak and then rapidly decline by around 2040. How old you will be by then and what will you do in order to protect yourself of a possible COLLAPSE?